Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#311
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#130
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 9.7% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 25.3% 45.8% 19.3%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 14.2% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.4% 4.7%
First Four3.8% 4.4% 3.6%
First Round3.9% 7.0% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 31 - 4
Quad 45 - 66 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 01, 2020 224   @ Stony Brook L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 06, 2020 73   @ St. John's L 68-88 4%    
  Dec 21, 2020 313   @ Wagner L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 22, 2020 313   @ Wagner L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 07, 2021 290   @ Merrimack L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 08, 2021 290   @ Merrimack L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 14, 2021 332   Central Connecticut St. W 79-72 71%    
  Jan 21, 2021 239   St. Francis (PA) L 76-77 44%    
  Jan 22, 2021 239   St. Francis (PA) L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 30, 2021 257   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 31, 2021 257   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 04, 2021 332   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 20, 2021 310   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 21, 2021 310   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 73-76 40%    
Projected Record 5 - 9 5 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.4 1.2 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 4.0 5.5 2.1 0.1 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.4 7.2 3.2 0.3 16.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.1 7.5 3.5 0.4 0.0 20.3 9th
10th 1.1 4.9 6.9 5.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 21.0 10th
11th 0.7 0.7 11th
Total 1.8 5.3 9.3 12.7 15.3 15.9 13.2 10.5 7.7 4.7 2.4 1.1 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 74.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 32.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 40.0% 40.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 1.1% 35.8% 35.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
10-8 2.4% 28.1% 28.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.7
9-9 4.7% 20.1% 20.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.7
8-10 7.7% 13.8% 13.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 6.6
7-11 10.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.5
6-12 13.2% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.2
5-13 15.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 15.2
4-14 15.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 15.0
3-15 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.6
2-16 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
1-17 5.3% 5.3
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.8 93.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%